Vol. 6, Issue 11, Part C (2020)

Abstract
India has been in the descending phase of Covid19 pandemic since 17 September 2020. The present study tried to estimate as to when pandemic in India would turn into high endemic and then to low endemic situations. Studying twenty nine districts from 16 high burden states on 30 October 2020 and examining the ascending and descending phases of pandemic, it was postulated that by 18 November 2020, India would expectedly be out of pandemic and enter into high endemic situation. Thereafter, in absence of potent and safe vaccine, India would achieve low endemic situation around 11 January 2021.